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Hydrogen: A Viable Option for a Net-Zero Canada in 2050?

Canada produces approximately three million tonnes of hydrogen annually and is one of the top 10 hydrogen producers in the world

Executive summary

Our committee launched a study titled Hydrogen: A Viable Option for a Net-Zero Canada in 2050?. We were concerned with solutions for climate change. We wanted to understand hydrogen’s potential role in the energy transition for Canada to achieve its goal of net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050 (NZE2050).

Achieving NZE2050 in Canada’s energy system will depend, in part, on low-carbon intensity (CI) electricity and low-CI fuels, including hydrogen. Low-CI electricity will do most of the work of achieving NZE2050, but in the sectors and applications where electricity is not a good option, low-CI hydrogen can possibly replace high-CI fossil fuels. This would be something fundamentally new for Canada, requiring a transformational change to infrastructure and energy mixes over the coming few decades. If successful, new industries, products, and services could emerge with different regional benefits.

However, it does not make sense to consider hydrogen in isolation from the alternatives. To get to NZE2050 requires a systems perspective that looks at all the options for the energy system and optimizes for the outcomes we want. There are no low-CI options that are silver bullet solutions for the energy transition. The systems perspective makes transparent the tradeoffs between low-CI options and helps us understand their different social, environmental and economic values and costs. The perspective can help us protect current and future generations by identifying and considering their concerns in decision-making and energy planning today.

How hydrogen is made and whether it is made from methane or water is less important than what its life cycle carbon intensity is. NZE2050 demands that eventually Canada use only the lowest carbon intensity energy options in our economy. But the hydrogen Canada produces and consumes today is more than twice as carbon intensive as methane, so low-CI hydrogen supply and demand needs to grow from near-zero to play a role in achieving NZE2050.

While there are lots of potential pathways for producing and using low-CI hydrogen in Canada, some are more promising than others. The Government of Canada described many of these pathways in its national vision for the hydrogen sector, the Hydrogen Strategy for Canada: Seizing the Opportunity.

At the same time, the provinces and territories have their own hydrogen ambitions depending on their natural resources, energy supplies, policy environments, economies, infrastructure, and other factors. What ends up determining the hydrogen pathway in each region may come down to the relative cost of methane, geological sequestration of greenhouse gases, and of low-CI electricity.

The Government of Canada has supported the hydrogen sector for many years, including through research and development, funding programs, tax incentives and regulations. But the domestic low-CI hydrogen sector is unlikely to develop on its own without further government supports – or at least it will not develop at the pace required by NZE2050. The domestic hydrogen sector is also at risk of investments going to other countries, such as the United States with its Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, that offer more generous incentives than Canada provides.

New Government of Canada policies have recently been announced to support the hydrogen sector. Our report, Hydrogen: A Viable Option for a Net-Zero Canada in 2050?, outlines our findings and provides our recommendations to the Government of Canada as it designs policies to help Canada achieve NZE2050.

Recommendations

RECOMMENDATION 1

The Government of Canada must improve how it models the environmental, economic and social benefits and costs of its energy programs and policies by taking a system perspective and being more transparent about the tradeoffs between options.


RECOMMENDATION 2

The Government of Canada must make its energy models and related methodologies transparent and accessible to peer-review and public scrutiny and improve governance in this respect to enhance accountability and public trust.


RECOMMENDATION 3

The Government of Canada must quickly implement the recommendations of the Commissioner of the Environment and Sustainable Development (CESD) with respect to the CESD’s hydrogen audit, including completing comprehensive modelling for the use of hydrogen, publishing a hydrogen market development roadmap, adopting a standard framework for estimating the emission reductions of government policies, and improving federal modelling assumptions.


RECOMMENDATION 4

The Government of Canada must present credible economic and energy transformation plans for achieving NZE2050 and any interim targets along the way, informed by the CESD’s comments about factoring in the “environmental, economic and the social costs, the negative externalities that are not captured by carbon pricing and the negative temporal externalities that are borne by future generations.”


RECOMMENDATION 5

Where possible, the Government of Canada must seek arrangements where it shares the funding, risk and rewards with hydrogen suppliers and investors in a pro-rated fashion, ensuring mutual benefit and risks.


RECOMMENDATION 6

The Government of Canada must take into account the dynamic of other countries’ hydrogen subsidies on Canadian businesses as it develops incentives for the domestic hydrogen sector, so that, commensurate with its risks and investments, Canada claims its fair share of the results.


RECOMMENDATION 7

The Government of Canada must apply its national carbon pricing framework more stringently across economic sectors and reduce any exemptions to the framework that may exist. It should take measures to increase certainty that the national carbon pricing framework will endure and that the carbon price will continue to rise.

RECOMMENDATION 8

The Government of Canada’s hydrogen and NZE2050 policies must define low-carbon intensity standards that are technology agnostic, and continually lower the allowed carbon intensity on track with credible NZE2050 pathways.


RECOMMENDATION 9

The Government of Canada must focus on growing the domestic low-carbon intensity hydrogen supply and demand for the critical sectors and applications that will help achieve NZE2050; but it should invest strategically, in partnership with other levels of government and the private sector, and not take on too much risk with public funds.


RECOMMENDATION 10

The Government of Canada must identify and invest in hydrogen hubs that will help achieve NZE2050 and work in partnership with provinces, territories and Indigenous Peoples to achieve regional hydrogen ambitions.


RECOMMENDATION 11

The Government of Canada, in the development and implementation of hydrogen as an energy source, must ensure that their relations with Indigenous Peoples and Indigenous Governments in Canada comply with Section 35 of the Constitution Act, 1982, the principle of the honour of the Crown, and the principles in Canada’s treaty relationships, and its fiduciary obligations to the Indigenous Peoples of Canada.


RECOMMENDATION 12

The Government of Canada must ensure that hydrogen companies operating in Canada, or abroad, are in compliance with Canadian laws and regulations.


RECOMMENDATION 13

Given that hydrogen energy is still nascent, the Government of Canada must periodically review its Hydrogen Strategy. If in the future hydrogen energy is no longer a cost-competitive or environmentally responsible path to net zero, the Government must revise its strategy and reevaluate its investment of public funds in this industry.


RECOMMENDATION 14

The committee requests that the Government of Canada table a comprehensive response to this Report.

News Release

Ottawa - A new Senate report says that the Government of Canada should continue its investments in the growth of the industry for hydrogen with low carbon intensity (CI), such as promoting the implementation of regional hubs for hydrogen, to support the goal of net-zero emissions by 2050. It should nevertheless invest strategically, in partnership with provinces and territories, the private sector as well as Indigenous peoples, and not take on too much risk with public funds.

In addition, given the uncertainty that remains around hydrogen’s ultimate role in global energy systems, the Senate Committee on Energy, the Environment and Natural Resources calls on the federal government to regularly review its hydrogen strategy — and, if necessary, reevaluate its investment in the sector if it is no longer a cost-competitive or environmentally responsible path to net-zero emissions.

These findings arise from the committee’s study of the role that hydrogen can play in Canada’s energy transition. The committee’s report, Hydrogen: A Viable Option for a Net-Zero Canada in 2050?, outlines its conclusions and provides 14 recommendations for the federal government to consider as it designs policies to support its net-zero emissions goal.

Low-CI hydrogen has been identified as a possible replacement for fossil fuels. However, the hydrogen that Canada produces and consumes today is costly and more than twice as carbon intensive as methane. The Canadian industry for low-CI hydrogen is only just beginning to develop — and likely won’t expand further without additional government support.

Quick Facts

  • The committee launched its study on hydrogen energy for Canada in March 2022 and heard from 33 witnesses over nine meetings.
  • Today, hydrogen is predominantly used globally as a feedstock for chemicals, fertilizers and oil.
  • Canada produces approximately three million tonnes of hydrogen annually and is one of the top 10 hydrogen producers in the world.

Quotes

“Replacing fossil fuels with low-carbon intensity hydrogen would be something fundamentally new for Canada. However, hydrogen energy won’t be a silver bullet solution for the energy transition; the federal government must take a systems perspective to understand its role in achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.”

- Senator Rosa Galvez, Chair of the committee

“The implementation of the federal hydrogen strategy relies, for the most part, on public funds. The Government of Canada should therefore engage the public, present credible and transparent information about its investments to achieve net-zero emissions and, finally, avoid a one-size-fits-all approach in developing different types of hydrogen to take into account regional characteristics.”

- Senator Josée Verner, P.C., Deputy Chair of the committee

“Our committee undertook this study on hydrogen energy to identify solutions for climate change. We urge the government to implement the report’s recommendations as they will help Canada along the path to net-zero emissions.”

- Senator Paul J. Massicotte, former chair of the committee

Associated Links

 

For more information:
Ben Silverman
Communications Officer | Senate of Canada
343-574-4950 | ben.silverman@sen.parl.gc.ca

Senators who participated in this study

Paul J. Massicotte

Paul J. Massicotte
ISG - Quebec (De Lanaudière)

Josée Verner, P.C.

Josée Verner, P.C.
CSG - Quebec (Montarville)

Dawn Anderson

Dawn Anderson
C - Northwest Territories

David M. Arnot

David M. Arnot
ISG - Saskatchewan

Michèle Audette

Michèle Audette
PSG - Quebec (De Salaberry)

Rosa Galvez

Rosa Galvez
ISG - Quebec (Bedford)

Mary Jane McCallum

Mary Jane McCallum
C - Manitoba

Julie Miville-Dechêne

Julie Miville-Dechêne
PSG - Quebec (Inkerman)

Dennis Glen Patterson

Dennis Glen Patterson
CSG - Nunavut

Judith G. Seidman

Judith G. Seidman
C - Quebec (De la Durantaye)

Karen Sorensen

Karen Sorensen
PSG - Alberta

Membership of the Committee during this study which was held under the presidency of the Honourable Senator Paul J. Massicotte.

Ex-officio members of the committee: The Honourable Senator Marc Gold, P.C., or Raymonde Gagné, the Honourable Senator Donald Neil Plett, or Yonah Martin

Other Senators who have participated in the study: The Honourable Senators Pierre-Hugues Boisvenu, Claude Carignan, P.C., Clément Gignac, Peter Harder, P.C., Frances Lankin, P.C. and Hassan Yussuff

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